3M (MMM)

EARNINGS TO THE RESCUE

EARNINGS TO THE RESCUE

EARNINGS TO THE RESCUE

Stocks opened higher today after Apple’s (AAPL) earnings announcement (see below). The Dow is currently up 369 pts and the SPX is up 1%. Tech, industrials and consumer discretionary sectors are leading the way, up over 1% in early trading. In particular, AAPL is up 4.7% and Amazon (AMZN) is up 3.4%. The VIX Index—a common fear gauge among traders—is still hovering around 19 where it has been for the past couple of weeks. With every passing day it seems more likely that Christmas Eve was the correction bottom. Commodities are trading mostly higher today. WTI crude oil is back up around $54.70/barrel and you can expect it to keep going in the near term. Bonds are mixed; Treasuries are down but junk bonds are higher on the day. The 10-year Treasury yield is hovering around 2.73% and has been pretty tight to that level over the last two weeks. The yield curve is still flattish but hasn’t inverted yet. By the way, Fed Chair Powell is scheduled to hold a press conference today discussing the FOMC’s monthly policy meeting.


*The foregoing content reflects the author's personal opinions which may not coincide with the opinions of the firm, and are subject to change at any time without notice. Content provided herein is for informational purposes only and should not be used or construed as investment advice or a recommendation regarding the purchase or sale of any security. There is no guarantee that these statements, opinions, or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Any investor who attempts to mimic the performance of an index would incur fees and expenses which would reduce returns. All investing involves risk. Asset allocation and diversification does not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. Finally, please understand that–as with other social media–if you leave a comment, it will be made public.

August 13, 2018

August 13, 2018

Stocks opened higher this morning but quickly faded on Turkey fears. The Dow and SPX are currently down 100 pts & .23%, respectively. Retailers, semiconductors and some FAANG stocks are clinging to small gains, but most everything else is in the red. The VIX Index  is trading up around 14, the highest in two weeks but still considered very low. Exchange trade volume is 11% below normal levels for this time of year, according to Bloomberg. European markets are down .5% and most of Asia was down more than 1% last night. The dollar appreciated about 1.2% over the last week as emerging markets currencies are losing ground. Not surprisingly, commodities are falling in value. WTI crude oil is down 1% to trade around $66.60/barrel. Remember, oil was over $70/barrel a month ago. Bonds are slightly lower in today’s trade. The 5-year Treasury yield is hovering around 2.74% and the 10-year is trading at 2.87%. 


*The foregoing content reflects the author's personal opinions which may not coincide with the opinions of the firm, and are subject to change at any time without notice. Content provided herein is for informational purposes only and should not be used or construed as investment advice or a recommendation regarding the purchase or sale of any security. There is no guarantee that these statements, opinions, or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Any investor who attempts to mimic the performance of an index would incur fees and expenses which would reduce returns. All investing involves risk. Asset allocation and diversification does not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. Finally, please understand that–as with other social media–if you leave a comment, it will be made public.

April 24, 2018

Stocks popped at the open but quickly turned around. The Dow is down 53 pts and the SPX is down .12%. The telecom sector is up over 1.5% after Verizon (VZ) reported first quarter earnings. Utilities and financials, which usually move opposite these days depending on interest rates, are both in the green. But tech, industrials, materials and consumer discretionary are sinking. WTI crude oil is trading back up over $69/barrel. Very few saw that coming at the beginning of 2018. Interest rates continue to march upward and that—along with earnings announcements—is the story of the day. The 5-year Treasury yield is up around 2.83% and the 10-year yield just touched 3% for the first time since the beginning of 2014. Remember that over the last six months scads of Wall Street strategists and economists have said a 3% 10-year would absolutely upset the stock market. We’ll see.


*The foregoing content reflects the author's personal opinions which may not coincide with the opinions of the firm, and are subject to change at any time without notice. Content provided herein is for informational purposes only and should not be used or construed as investment advice or a recommendation regarding the purchase or sale of any security. There is no guarantee that these statements, opinions, or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Any investor who attempts to mimic the performance of an index would incur fees and expenses which would reduce returns. All investing involves risk. Asset allocation and diversification does not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. Finally, please understand that–as with other social media–if you leave a comment, it will be made public.

October 24, 2017

Stocks gapped up at the open this morning (Dow +118 pts; SPX +.17%). And in fact, the SPX has gone 242 trading days without even a minor 3% correction. Industrials are leading after 3M (MMM) reported earnings. Semiconductors, banks and retailers are also higher in early trading. On the other hand, biotechs, gold miners, utilities and real estate are in the red. Most commodities are trading higher. Copper is now up over 25% this year; WTI crude oil is up slightly to trade around $52/barrel (highest since April). Bonds are selling off again. The 5-year Treasury note yield is up around 2.03% and the 10-year yield is back up to 2.41% (highest since May). Short-term rates are rising because the Fed has signaled increased hawkishness, but long-term rates are rising more slowly because they are tied to inflation expectations. 


*The foregoing content reflects the author's personal opinions which may not coincide with the opinions of the firm, and are subject to change at any time without notice. Content provided herein is for informational purposes only and should not be used or construed as investment advice or a recommendation regarding the purchase or sale of any security. There is no guarantee that these statements, opinions, or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Any investor who attempts to mimic the performance of an index would incur fees and expenses which would reduce returns. All investing involves risk. Asset allocation and diversification does not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. Finally, please understand that–as with other social media–if you leave a comment, it will be made public.

April 25, 2017

Stocks opened higher again this morning as traders digested earnings announcements. The Dow is currently up 230 pts and the SPX is up .57%. The Nasdaq rose over the 6,000 mark for the first time ever as Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Facebook continue to make new highs. In terms of major market sectors, materials and financials are leading the way, up 1% in early trading. The VIX Index sank back down under 11. European markets are poised to close slightly higher. Commodities are mostly higher but WTI crude oil is fading to around $49/barrel. There is clear support at $47/barrel. Bonds are falling in price for the second consecutive day. The 5-year Treasury yield is back up to 1.84% and the 10-year yield is at 2.31%. 


*The foregoing content reflects the author's personal opinions which may not coincide with the opinions of the firm, and are subject to change at any time without notice. Content provided herein is for informational purposes only and should not be used or construed as investment advice or a recommendation regarding the purchase or sale of any security. There is no guarantee that these statements, opinions, or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Any investor who attempts to mimic the performance of an index would incur fees and expenses which would reduce returns. All investing involves risk. Asset allocation and diversification does not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. Finally, please understand that–as with other social media–if you leave a comment, it will be made public.